Tropical Storm Debby in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Strorm Debby at 8:00 a.m. today is located 90 miles south-southwest of Apalachicola, FL, winds are 50 mph and the storm is presently stationary over the eastern Gulf. The storm is forecast to cross western FL later today. As much as 10 to 15 inches of rain is forecast with isolated amounts up to 25 inches that will produce widespread flooding.  There is no clearly defined eye with this storm.  Yesterday the NHC official track was taking the storm westward to Texas.  Then later in the day, the track was changed completely to the current northerly track.  This is the fourth named storm of the season, the most named storms this early in the season on record.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Our website is WrightWeather.com.

Severe Early Morning Thunderstorms in Central New Jersey, Staten Island, Long Island and Connecticut

A upper-level shortwave trough triggered strong convection this morning in a line from central MA to near Trenton NJ. Intense lightning, loud thunder & heavy rain occurred in Perth Amboy, NJ this morning from 7:45 a.m. to 8:30 a.m., pea-sized hail occurred at 7:55 a.m.   More storms are possible this afternoon as a cold front moves across the Northeast and the NYC metro area. The NWS discussion noted:

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM WESTERN CT...TO NORTHERN NEW YORK CITY...AND IS PROGRESSING EAST. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE CWA THROUGH 14Z. SBCAPE VALUES REMAIN AROUND 1000 J/KG...WITH 0-6KM SHEAR VALUES AROUND 40KTS. POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS LINE...WITH WINDS...AND SMALL HAIL...BEING THE MAIN THREATS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN CT. PW VALUES AROUND 1.5 INCHES COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE HEAVY RAIN AS WELL. THE ROUND EARLY THIS MORNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE COLD FRONT LOOKS TO PASS THROUGH MIDDAY...CREATING THE NEXT CHC FOR SHOWER AND TSTORM DEVELOPMENT. SFC BASED CAPE VALUES REMAIN AROUND 1000 J/KG...AND WITH THE DECENT SHEAR VALUES AROUND 40 KTS PERSISTING...EXPECTING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...THOUGH MORE SCT THAN WIDESPREAD LIKE THIS MORNING.MESO MODELS HINT AT THIS SECOND...SEPARATE DEVELOPMENT...SO ITS POSSIBLE TO SEE A SHORT BREAK AROUND NOON BEFORE THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH WITH THE NEXT ROUND.

The NWS severe weather statement for this event is below.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 824 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012 MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONMOUTH NJ 824 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM EDT FOR MONMOUTH...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX AND SOUTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTIES...AT 821 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF NORTH MIDDLETOWN TO IMLAYSTOWN...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM STATEN ISLAND TO 12 MILES EAST OF TRENTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...MARLBORO...CLARKSBURG...PORT MONMOUTH AND NORTH MIDDLETOWN BY 830 AM EDT...MIDDLETOWN...HOLMDEL...WEST FREEHOLD AND LEONARDO BY 835 AM EDT...SANDY HOOK AND ADELPHIA BY 840 AM EDT...

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Our website is WrightWeather.com.

First Heat Wave of Summer in New York City and the Northeast...More Heat Thursday

A Heat Warning remains in affect through Thursday. The high today in Central Park was 94 with records of 98 for the date in Newark and in Queens at La Guardia Airport. An intense, quick-hitting heat wave has taken over most of the Northeast. The weather was relatively cool Tuesday night and Wednesday morning but a strong surge of heat penetrated the region last night and today. More heat with thunderstorms on Friday. It will be cooler and less humid this weekend.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Our website is WrightWeather.com.

It Feels Like Autumn Today in New York and Coastal Sections of the Northeast

The temperature at 11 AM is 55 in Central Park, 55 in Newark, NJ, 51 in Boston and 49 in Worcester, MA. A northeast flow combined with rain has kept temperatures in the 50s this morning near the coast. The ocean temperature is 61-63 in the New York-Long Island area. The unusually cool start to June is being caused by a closed, slow moving cut-off low that is circulating across the Northeast. It will drift off the coast by Wednesday but a northerly flow with rotating moisture will persist. 

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Our website is WrightWeather.com.