High Wind Warning for NYC Metro Area Today...Heavy Rain on the Way

A tropical low is forecast to track up the eastern coast of the US through Friday afternoon. The NWS has issued a High Wind Warning for southerly winds gusting to 50 to 60 mph here in the NYC metropolitan area including southern CT, northeastern NJ and all of Long Island. A Wind Advisory is in effect elsewhere. The rain will be heavy at times through Friday morning. Radar shows a huge area of rain across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic States.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and President of Wright Weather Consulting, Inc. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with Cablevision News 12.

Tornado in Brooklyn Near Varranzano Bridge!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
536 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

* AT 534 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR CROWN HEIGHTS...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO OZONE PARK...FOREST HILLS...HOWARD BEACH...JAMAICA...CLEARVIEW EXPRESSWAY AND LITTLE NECK
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and President of Wright Weather Consulting, Inc. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with Cablevision News 12.

Severe Thunderstorms This Evening in Tri-State New York City Metro Area...

The NWS has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning in parts of central New Jersey.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
455 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF TRENTON...NORTHERN MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SANDY HOOK... MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PERTH AMBOY...NEW BRUNSWICK... SOUTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOMERVILLE... EAST CENTRAL HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... NORTH CENTRAL BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 615 PM EDT

* AT 451 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BRIDGEWATER TO FLORENCE... OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOMERVILLE TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF TRENTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... BASKING RIDGE...MARTINSVILLE...CROSSWICKS AND SOMERVILLE AROUND 500 PM EDT... WINDSOR...SOUTH BRUNSWICK...MILLINGTON AND EDINBURG AROUND 505 PM EDT... IMLAYSTOWN AND SOMERSET AROUND 510 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES GREATEST KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

The weather graphics above indicate a very active cold front with a large area of rain and embedded heavy thunderstorms across the Mid-Atlantic to New England. A Wind Advisory is in effect tonight for Long Island and Connecticut for gusts to 50 mph.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and President of Wright Weather Consulting, Inc. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with Cablevision News 12.

Today was the 37th Day with 90 Degree Temperatures in Central Park

The hottest summer on record continues in Central Park. Today was the 37th day with 90 degree temperatures in Central Park. The normal number of 90 degree days in the summer is only 15.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and President of Wright Weather Consulting, Inc. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with Cablevision News 12.

Tropical Storm Earl Pounding Cape Cod Tonight with Wind and Heavy Rain

At 2:00 a.m. Hurricane Earl has been downgraded to a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph. The storm is located about 100 miles southeast of Nantucket and continues to move rapidly to the northeast. Heavy rain and wind gusts over 30 mph are now present in and around Cape Cod. The storm is forecast to continue its northeasterly movement into Nova Scotia Saturday afternoon. Our weather in the New York City metropolitan area looks great this weekend with lost of sunshine and temperatures in the 70s to near 80. The ocean will still be rough with rip currents on Saturday but it will calm down on Sunday and Labor Day.

The George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and President of Wright Weather Consulting, Inc. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with Cablevision News 12.

NAM Model Grapphics for Hurricane Earl, 7 AM Friday, Sept. 3, 2010

The above graphics were from the numerical weather prediction model, the NAM for Hurricane Earl

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and President of Wright Weather Consulting, Inc. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with Cablevision News 12.

Rain and Strong Wind from Earl Remaining Well Offshore

So far through 2 PM the NYC metro area including the Jersey Shore and Long Island have seen only moderate effects from Earl as it has been downgraded to a Category 1 storm. Rough seas, beach erosion, rip currents and some coastal flooding should be the main threats through this evening with the highest winds and waves over eastern Suffolk County of Long Island and later into Cape Cod.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and President of Wright Weather Consulting, Inc. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with Cablevision News 12.

Earl 150 Miles Southeast of Atlantic City...14-16 Foot Waves Reported in Smith Point Long Island

Here is the latest on Earl from the National Hurricane Center:

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1100 AM EDT FRI SEP 03 2010

...A LARGE BUT WEAKER HURRICANE EARL HEADING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW
ENGLAND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.8N 73.1W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM NE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF OCRACOKE. THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA FOR MASSACHUSETTS HAS BEEN REDUCED. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR WESTERN LONG ISLAND AND THE COAST OF CONNECTICUT WEST OF NEW HAVEN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. ALL WATCHES/WARNINGS BETWEEN HULL MASSACHUSETTS AND CAPE ELIZABETH MAINE HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. NUMEROUS CHANGES TO CANADIAN WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WOODS HOLE EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCRACOKE NORTH CAROLINA TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING
DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH
OF NEW POINT COMFORT * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO HULL MASSACHUSETTS
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO ECUM SECUM
* TIDNISH TO LISMORE
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE ELIZABETH TO WEST OF STONINGTON MAINE
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM NORTHEASTWARD TO LISMORE
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS TODAY...AND APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...BUT EARL IS EXPECTED REMAIN A LARGE HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE STILL OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BUT ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER TODAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD AND REACH SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND LATER TODAY...AND SPREAD OVER THE COAST OF MAINE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA OVER NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS IN THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER MASSACHUSETTS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR SO OF RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS OF 5 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA...MARYLAND AND DELAWARE AND ALSO ACROSS CENTRAL AND COASTAL MAINE. SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS.


George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and President of Wright Weather Consulting, Inc. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with Cablevision News 12.

Hurricane Earl Graphics...Now Category 2

The above graphics were from Thursday evening, the night Earl is pounding the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and President of Wright Weather Consulting, Inc. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with Cablevision News 12.

Latest Local NYC Advisory on Hurricane Earl...Now Category 2 Storm

As of 10:00 p.m. EDT Earl's wind speeds are now down to 105 mph but the storm is very large and it is still a Category 2 storm. Look for the worst effects to occur in Cape Hatteras, NC; eastern Suffolk County of Long Island and Cape Cod/Martha's Vinyard. The storm will be affecting the NYC metro area during the afternoon and early evening on Friday. The storm was a near miss for the tri-state New York metro area as the upper-level steering winds drive the storm to the northeast away from the coast. The weekend will be sunny and cool.

Here is the latest local New York NWS advisory on Earl:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
848 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF THE
AREA...BUT IMPACTS WILL STILL BE FELT...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK... NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON... NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW YORK HARBOR.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0N...LONGITUDE 74.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 010 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 110 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF NEW YORK CITY. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM CAN BE FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and President of Wright Weather Consulting, Inc. Our website is WrightWeather.com. George is also a meteorologist with Cablevision News 12.