Search This Blog

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Coastal Storm to Impact New York City Metro Area Tomorrow and Thursday

In the aftermath of Sandy, another storm is taking aim at the New York City metropolitan area tomorrow and Thursday.  This storm will be nowhere near the strength of Sandy since last week's storm was a hybrid storm that began with a hurricane in place.  This storm will be a more typical coastal storm of "Nor'easter" that will strengthen near Cape Hatteras tonight and track northeastward.  The latest NAM and GFS models are forecasting that the storm will slow down to the southeast of Long Island for a time Wednesday night that will likely add to the piling up of water along the coast.  Thankfully, the astronomical tides are low but there can still be minor to moderate coastal flooding at high tide during the afternoon on Wednesday and a better chance for flooding during the next high tide late Wednesday night/early Thursday morning.  A storm surge of 3 to 4 feet is possible in western Long Island. Sound.  Rainfall amounts could be from less than one inch to up to 2 inches across the region depending on the actual storm track.  The storm is still 24 hours away so there could be some deviation regarding the storm track.  The model solutions have been trending colder with the 32 degree freezing line at 1000 MB moving into northern New Jersey.  A mix of rain and snow is forecast for the city as well as Long Island and central New Jersey. 

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Our website is WrightWeather.com. Follow George Wright on Twitter during this storm @gwweather.