Latest GFS and NAM Model Runs for Hurricane Sandy

Both the GFS and NAM are in agreement on the track of very dangerous Hurricane Sandy. The storm is now forecast to make landfall Monday night around 8 PM near northern Ocean and southern Monmouth Counties. The wind field from this storm is huge with tropical force winds extending over 300 to 400 miles. At 850 MB the storm extends from Maine to Florida and westward to the Great Lakes. A surge of 5 to 11 feet can be expected in and around New York City with a 4 to 8 foot surge along the Jersey Shore. A strong Rex block to the east of the storm over the western Atlantic will keep the storm from moving to the northeast and out to sea. A stationary front with cold air is present just to the west along the east coast. A huge upper trough will dive down and capture the hurricane and intensify it into a hybrid "super storm" that will make landfall right along the central Jersey Shore. Make preparations and evacuate if told to do so.

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Our website is WrightWeather.com.