NHC Official Forecast Brings the Center of Sandy Near the Central Jersey Shore Tuesday Morning...

The models continue to indicate a westward track as Hurricane Sandy tracks northward in response to an upper-level low that will capture the storm and bring it inland.  It is still early, btu the indications are from the models that Sandy will likely impact a large portion of the Northeast.  The degree will depend on the actual track.  The official NOAA surface forecast charts are below.  The GFS model is forecasting that the storm will be moving close to New York City Tuesday evening.  The official 5 PM NHC track now brings the storm across the central Jersey Shore around noon on Tuesday as it moves inland.  The central pressure is forecast at 10 PM Tuesday to be 958 mb or 28.29 inches.  Wind gusts to 60 mph, coastal flooding with a full moon, urban flooding, downed trees and powerlines, rough surf and beach erosion are all possible with this storm.  More than 6 inches of rain can fall near the storm center. The exact track of the storm will great influence the degree to which the storm will affect a particular region.  The storm is likely to make landfall anywhere from Delaware to southern Maine.  More updates in later model runs.   

George Wright is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist for Wright Weather Consulting, LLC. George is also a meteorologist with ABC News and Cablevision News 12. Our website is WrightWeather.com.  Follow George during this storm and this winter season on Twitter.